A WARNING dat climate change gots to melt most of da Himalayan glaciers by 2035 is likely to be retracted afta a series of scientific blunders by da United Nations body dat issued it.
Two years ago da Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a benchmark report dat wuz claimed to incorporate da latest 'n most detailed research into da impact of global warming, know what I'm sayin'? A central claim wuz da world's glaciers wuz meltin' so fast dat those in da Himalayas could vanish by 2035.
In da past few days da scientists behind da warnin' has admitted dat that shit was based on a news story in da New Scientist, a popular science journal, published eight years before da IPCC's 2007 report.
It has also emerged dat da New Scientist report wuz itself based on a short telephone interview wid Syed Hasnain, a little-known Indian scientist then based at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi.
Hasnain has since admitted dat da claim wuz "speculation" 'n wuz not supported by any formal research, know what I'm sayin'? If confirmed dat shit would be one of da most serious failures yet seen in climate research n' shit. Da IPCC wuz set up precisely to ensure dat world leaders had da best possible scientific advice on climate change.
Professor Murari Lal, who oversaw da chapta on glaciers in da IPCC report, said tha dude would recommend dat da claim about glaciers be dropped: "If Hasnain says officially dat tha dude neva asserted this, or dat that shit be a wrong presumption, than Ah gots to recommend dat da assertion about Himalayan glaciers be removed from future IPCC assessments."
Da IPCC's reliance on Hasnain's 1999 interview has been highlighted by Fred Pearce, da journalist who carried out da original interview fo da New Scientist, man. Pearce said tha dude rang Hasnain in India in 1999 afta spottin' tha dude's claims in an Indian magazine, man. Pearce said: "Hasnain told me then dat tha dude wuz bringin' a report containin' those numbers to Britain, man. Da report had not been pea reviewed or formally published in a scientific journal 'n dat shit had no formal status so Ah reported tha dude's work on dat basis.
"Since then Ah has obtained a copy 'n dat shit does not say what Hasnain said, man. In otha words dat shit does not mention 2035 as a date by which any Himalayan glaciers gots to melt, know what I'm sayin'? However, tha dude did make clear dat tha dude's comments related only to part of da Himalayan glaciers, know what I'm sayin'? not da whole massif."
Da New Scientist report wuz apparently forgotten until 2005 when WWF cited dat shit in a report called An Overview of Glaciers, Glacia Retreat, 'n Subsequent Impacts in Nepal, India 'n China n' shit. Da report credited Hasnain's 1999 interview wid da New Scientist n' shit. But dat shit wuz a campaignin' report ratha than an academic papa so dat shit wuz not subjected to any formal scientific review, know what I'm sayin'? Despite dis dat shit rapidly became a key source fo da IPCC when Lal and tha dude's colleagues came to write da section on da Himalayas.
When finally published, da IPCC report did give its source as da WWF study but went further, suggestin' da likelihood of da glaciers meltin' wuz "very high", man. Da IPCC defines dis as havin' a probability of greata than 90%.
Da report read: "Glaciers in da Himalaya be recedin' fasta than in any otha part of da world and, if da present rate continues, da likelihood of 'em disappearin' by da year 2035 'n perhaps soona be very high if da Earth keeps warmin' at da current rate."
However, glaciologists find such figures inherently ludicrous, pointin' out that most Himalayan glaciers be hundreds of feet thick 'n could not melt fast enough to vanish by 2035 unless there wuz a huge global temperature rise, man. Da maximum rate of decline in thickness seen in glaciers at da moment be 2-3 feet a year 'n most be far lower.
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